Jim Coventry digs into the Super Bowl betting market and identifies his top futures bets and longshots with OTA's in the books and training camp a month away. I'll take the plunge at plus-odds. In the secondary, they added the best CB in free agency in J.C. Jackson along with Bryce Callahan, who may not have been a good scheme fit the last two years in Denver. In any event, I still believe in the elite defense overperforms Super Bowl theory, and the question is whether the Rams qualify here. Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NFL fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter. He's a force off the edge and though he'll draw the tough assignment of solving Andrew Whitworth, Hendrickson has the decided athletic advantage over the elder statesman. Let's start with coaching. Copyright 2022 GDC Media Limited, licensed to GDC America Inc and sub-licensed to Roto Sports Inc. All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2022 GDC Media Limited, licensed to GDC America Inc and sub-licensed to Roto Sports Inc. All Rights Reserved. Idelvedinto this two years ago and bet (heavily) on the 49ers as a result, losing about $1200 in the process, but I stuck by the theory last year, and the Bucs' superior defense delivered for me against the Chiefs to recoup $100 of it. I don't. I wanted to put some money behind my thoughts on the game, where I feel there is a legitimate chance Cincinnati not only covers but wins outright. Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NFL fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter. Copyright 2022 GDC Media Limited, licensed to GDC America Inc and sub-licensed to Roto Sports Inc. All Rights Reserved. Expect the movement to come after an initial round of betting from sports bettors. pic.twitter.com/xuTLqosmZm. The Bengals are comfortable in that type of setup. A published author, Coventry wrote a book about relationships, 2022 New York Jets Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More, 2022 Miami Dolphins Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More, 2022 New England Patriots Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More, 2022 Atlanta Falcons Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More, 2022 Las Vegas Raiders Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More. 2022 New York Jets Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More, 2022 Miami Dolphins Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More, 2022 New England Patriots Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More. Tee Higgins is a big-play threat in his own right and outside of Ramsey, the Rams don't have a true lockdown corner. Total Sacks by Both Teams (OVER 5.5) (+100). He also nabbed five top-50 finishes in national contests from 2008 to 2012 before turning his attention to DFS. How many times did we see Pat Mahomes scramble to buy time only to find nobody open and be forced to do nothing in the AFC Championship? Put another way, if this game becomes high scoring (hence the OVER) and competitive (Bengals spread), it wouldn't be surprising to see Kupp and Chase have big games in tandem. See how much money you can win using any bet amount and odds combination. Coventry covers football for RotoWire. Joe Burrow took a league-leading 51 sacks in the regular season and was famously sacked nine times in the narrow victory over the Titans. Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NFL fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter. Simple enough. Getting his yardage total at 273.5 feels almost too good to be true. But sometimes you also live an hour and a half from a state that does (Tennessee) and you figure, hey, why not take a day trip up to Chattanooga and see what these sportsbooks have to offer? But think of the options that the under 23.5 affords you. As for the Bengals defense, Matthew Stafford led the league in interceptions (17) during the regular season and threw a pick in the NFC Championship Game. While the Bengals got some bounces in both games, they came back from a 21-3 deficit against the Chiefs, and their defense shut down one of the league's top offenses in the second half. His positive demeanor coupled with a steady and measured approach has helped his clients attain both short and long-term success, making him one of the most respected handicappers in the Midwest. Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NFL fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter. Or get the run established? The Jalen Ramsey factor is obviously a big constraint on Chase's odds of getting one of those, but it's not like he's the only show in town. Thank you, all, for allowing me into your computer screens as a new edition to the RotoWire family. Investing in the protection of Herbert has been paramount, and with time to throw, he should continue to get the most out of his great trio of weapons in Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. We reserve some of our best content for our paid subscribers. Matthew Stafford gets his title, 23-15. With Cincinnati's offensive line woes, is Von Miller worth a wager for Super Bowl MVP at 39-1 odds? Copyright 2022 GDC Media Limited, licensed to GDC America Inc and sub-licensed to Roto Sports Inc. All Rights Reserved. If you're looking for some longer odds, here are a few good options: The Bengals did have quite a bit of fortune on their ride to the Super Bowl last year, but there are strong reasons they could win it all this year. This article is part of our NFL Picks series. Of course, defenses are always hard to predict, but this could be one of the better defenses in the league. Copyright 2022 GDC Media Limited, licensed to GDC America Inc and sub-licensed to Roto Sports Inc. All Rights Reserved. He started playing fantasy football in 1994 and won a national contest in 1996. But let's not lose sight of this Bengals defense that racked up 42 sacks during the regular season and held the Chiefs to three points after halftime at Arrowhead. See how much you could win with any parlay. Looking at this bet another way, do you see Burrow dropping back 35-40 times and not hitting at least one big play? It's a perfect time to get a jump on the field by placing your Super Bowl futures bet. Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NFL fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter. Their strength (D-line) matches up perfectly with Cincy's weakness on the O-line and Jalen Ramsey can and will be deployed to neutralize one of the Bengals' WR threats. Copyright 2022 GDC Media Limited, licensed to GDC America Inc and sub-licensed to Roto Sports Inc. All Rights Reserved. Joe Burrow OVER 273.5 Passing Yards (-115); Joe Burrow Longest Passing Completion OVER 38.5 Yards (-120). John McKechnie throws his hat in the ring and breaks down the NFL Draft Prop Bets that he's targeting this weekend. Eric Timm anticipates a high-scoring game with plenty of offense on both sides in the AFC Championship game and there are bets at the FanDuel Sportsbook to target to that end. If the game goes as I think it will, Miller will have a real chance to take home the hardware at 39-1. Again, I expect the Rams to get off to the better start, which will put the Bengals in catch-up mode. Much has been made of the Rams' advantage in the trenches and on the edge versus the Bengals' offensive line. Certainly, this is a contrarian play, but with that comes significant value. Defensive touchdowns are mostly random occurrences anyway, and the Bengals are the less-experienced team in this spot so some early jitters wouldn't shock me. Again, historical precedent goes against this happening, and with this being Burrow and Stafford's first super bowl appearance, both could start slow and fall well short of the mark. This is a lot of juice to be giving up on such a goofy bet. I went 2-0 last week and won my best bet (49ers) to go 7-5 in the playoffs. Tom Brady did it in back-to-back Super Bowls (LI and LII) and Kurt Warner did it against the Titans in Super Bowl 34. Easy enough, right? He is a Maryland native and graduate of the University of Georgia. The Rams defensive front is plainly a concern for Joe Burrow, the most sacked QB in the NFL this year (51) and whom the Titans dropped nine times in the divisional round. This film features 11 of Bel Alam Wernik has become one of the most popular bottoms in current porn, rightfully so. See how much money you can win using any bet amount and odds combination. The Trouble with Gay Athletes, Top 5 Tips For Cruising at Cocksock with Us This Friday, Top Bear Alex Tikas Gets Double Stuffed For Muscle Bear Porn, Go-Go Boy Spotlight: Eddie Danger from Washington, DC, The Great BateWorld BateoOff Live Finale Recap: And the Winner Is. Ja'Marr Chase had eight of them in the regular season and one thus far in the playoffs. Every year I write about how the better defense typically outperforms against the spread in Super Bowls. 105.5 is an extraordinary number for mere mortals, but Kupp has proven to be anything but. Kevin Payne is backing the Rams over the Bengals and also has a number of other wagers to consider, including some cross-sport props, to add some spice to your Super Bowl Sunday. Sneaky Prop Bets for Super Bowl LVI. If Ramsey is shadowing Chase, Higgins and Tyler Boyd will have significant physical advantages over the likes of Darious Williams and David Long. And so, that's what I did Monday as I made my way up the Cumberland Plateau and past Lookout Mountain to get to The Scenic City. Joe Burrow has come back from a major knee injury to establish himself as one of the league's best quarterbacks, and he's done it while under pressure all year, i.e., the Rams stout front will get to him, but as long as the protection doesn't cave in completely, it won't be anything he hasn't overcome several times before. Each leg seems to be well within reason in a vacuum, though, and none of them seem counterintuitive to the other. Plus, if you choose to subscribe you can discuss this article with the author and the rest of the RotoWire community. Let's look at the Super Bowl odds movement from this trade, and how it could affect bettors. Joe Bartel breaks down his best bets to target in the 2022 NFL Draft with over 10 picks to target in the first round. If that happens, he has some explosive weapons in Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle and Chase Edmonds. Baker Mayfield Traded to Carolina - Browns and Panthers Super Bowl Odds Movement, Super Bowl Odds and Futures Picks: The Chargers are a Value after OTAs, NFL Schedule Release: NFL Odds, Picks, and Predictions for Week 1. Brown not only gives them a superstar WR, but his presence will take pressure off DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert as secondary options. I hate that this is the side I'm choosing, but my numbers and analysis says it is an easy choice. They fear them. All parties split the financials to make it happen. The Rams had a grand total of zero defensive touchdowns during the regular season, but that doesn't bother me. The main parts of most rosters have been constructed. Any Quarterback to Throw for 400+ Yards (+850). If they overperform the spread, I will certainly use it as a (small) datapoint in favor of my theory next year. This article is part of our NFL Picks series. He roots for the Reds, Bengals, Red Wings, Pacers and Northwestern University (the real NU). Game flow could skew this matchup into a back-and-forth with both quarterbacks dropping back north of 40 times. This article is part of our NFL Picks series. John is the 2016 and 2021 FSWA College Writer of the Year winner. They actually crumbled in epic fashion down the stretch while fading away. They were brutal down the stretch, giving up at least 34 points in three of their last four games, including 41 points to the Texans. This is a bet that the pass rush from both teams will be a significant factor, but won't be the be-all-end-all. Enter your bet amount and an unlimited number of bets in any odds format. The Rams are also better against the run (4.0 YPA to 4.3) and they've picked off more passes (19 to 13.). I believe this will be a somewhat disjointed and ugly game in which the Rams gradually pull away. So why the Chargers? Not great value for a six-leg parlay, admittedly. I don't see a lot of explosive chunk plays occurring, which will contribute to the low total. Actually, the problem was the defense. He's been writing for RotoWire since 2014. 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In sum, I was net -$1,100 for being correct for 112 out of 120 minutes the last two years recall the Chiefs were down 10 to the 49ers midway through the fourth quarter. He is a three time champion of the NFFC's "Beat Chris Liss" high stakes contest. See how much money you can win using any bet amount and odds combination. Finally, they also have the league's second-best kicker who has been a big factor through three playoff games, something that matters in close contests. Copyright 2022 GDC Media Limited, licensed to GDC America Inc and sub-licensed to Roto Sports Inc. All Rights Reserved. Opening line on Grindr? That's meaningful, but hardly a cavernous gulf. Moving to the offensive side of the ball, after adding three offensive linemen last year, the Chargers used the 17th pick in this year's draft on guard Zion Johnson, and this line is definitely trending in the right direction. Can Matthew Stafford snap the skid against the 49ers and deliver the Rams to the Super Bowl? UNDER 48.5 is my favorite bet of the Super Bowl.