As years progress, I constantly try to keep up with the most meaningful trends and metrics as the game evolves. Give us the quarterback who will be given time to develop over the one who will be rushed and comes with some red flags. He immediately lands in an offense with Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, Pat Freiermuth and Najee Harris as his weapons. A primary concern is who is getting him the ball. theScore's Justin Boone was first overall in FantasyPros' Most Accurate Expert Competition in 2019 and finished among the top seven each of his last seven years in the contest. Values are based on 12-team PPR leagues.

Theres a chance he could have a Nyheim Hines-like role very quickly and this is a great offense to be a part of for Cook and fantasy managers who draft him. True or False? They are simply one tool in the player valuation toolbox.

He was used as a WR/RB hybrid and do-it-all player for his collegiate career and put up a massive season despite transferring to tougher competition at Kentucky. One area of his game that stands out and will earn a quarterbacks trust quickly, Wilsons catch radius is absurd for a 6-foot receiver. Following a $5 million investment into Rashaad Penny, coach Pete Carroll spends the 41st pick on running back. It also tells us the exact year they excelled, which may get lost in career arcs with hyper-efficient final seasons. While Ryan doesnt have the fastball and touch he used to on downfield, throws, he can get it to Pierce. This is all about opportunity. Our first late declare WR makes his appearance at number 6. Remember, these are three-year projections for PPG starting from year 2, not solely rookie year success. Often argued as the best WR of this draft due to his early breakout age and production, this model dissents from public opinion a bit. The focus in Sportsnauts fantasy football rookie rankings is long-term. Travis Etienne is a top 15 Dynasty RB. However, this profile might not carry the appeal some will build it up to be.

Team adjusted efficiency consists of blending two final season metrics and is good for identifying the players you did the most when on the field in their last showings before the big show. While some sections remain the same, the Z-Score is constantly evolving to give a holistic picture of a prospects profile.

Willis is all traits, pretty much everything else needs to be reworked and rushing it increases the chance of him not fulfilling his potential. In addition, we have another highly questionable QB in Daniel Jones, delivering the ball. Small School Success: Wide Receiver Hit-Rates Outside of Power-5 Schools, Draft Darts: Gambling on Impactful Running Backs vs. 1. The Fantasy Z-Score returns once again! Dameon Pierce vauls up the dynasty rookie rankings after finally coming off the board. He does need to polish his route-running and hes not an elite home-run threat, but he can be an outstanding No. Oh, he also showed at Florida that he can be used as a receiver out of the backfield. The 6-foot-2 receiver doesnt make a lot of plays vertically, but his bread and butter is working underneath. This class as a whole is very weak when compared to recent years. Rookie Garrett Wilson brings well-rounded skills, which all translate to the next level. Velus Jones, turning 25 in May, is joining the Bears offense with the plan to use him immediately. Wide receivers who declare early less than four years of college have an increased rate of NFL success to the tune of about four more points per game on average. At least the Colts have a solid history of developing tight ends. Hes a 2022 stash, but earns the No. The 2022 NFL Draft class offered a plethora of talent that will help replenish dynasty fantasy football rosters.

PFFs Fantasy Strength of Schedule (SoS) metric provides a league-wide, season-long view of opponent matchups for each fantasy position. It might result in a slow start to his 2022 season, especially with Houston not in win-now mode. How lucky do you feel? He brings the vision, explosiveness and instincts to burst through holes and rip off some big gains. Just like for NFL teams, fantasy managers must weigh risk vs reward with quarterback Malik Willis. These were collected from the database of Peter Howard found@pahowdy. Their value remains much longer than the short-lived running back career arcs, for example. Landing with the dirty birds in Atlanta gives him the untethered reins to be the WR1 of their offense, alongside unicorn TE Kyle Pitts. You also gain access to the best dynasty fantasy football resources in the industry. Research past fantasy performance with sortable player stats including PFF-exclusives like aDOT and fantasy points per opportunity. The Denver Broncos needed a No. Remember that projections are only a portion of what to consider when evaluating a prospect. This may bump Moores cost into unreasonable levels, but Im comfortable having him at the top of my second tier. Still, from the Z-Score perspective, there is no discussion to be had. Without any further ado, lets dive into the 2022 rookie class. Hall will get all the carries he can handle as the Jets leading rusher. This adds up to him not only being the best option long-term but also the consensus top option for the 2022 season. He might snag a few starts, but theres not as much upside as some want to believe. You can use this chart to compare players and build realistic trade offers. Click on Dynasty Rankings & Trade ValuesQB | RB | WR | TE | Rookies | Draft Picks, Scott Taetsch / Getty Images Sport / Getty, Get the latest trending sports news daily in your inbox. rankings using the above controls. Related: 2022 fantasy football dynasty rankings. Unlock NFL Player Grades, Fantasy & NFL Draft, Unlock Premium Stats, PFF Greenline & DFS, class offered a plethora of talent that will help replenish dynasty, As such, here are my top-60 dynasty rookies heading into 2022 fantasy football. Among those WRs listed, only Robinson was hand-picked by this coaching staff. The small school standout looks like one of the Z-Score models favorite targets in late-1st, early-2nd rounds of your fantasy drafts. He should be the Jets' lead back in Week 1. While the 2022 receiver class offers plenty of exciting players, no one reaching the highest level this year belongs in that tier of players. His monstrous 10.25 hands and notoriety as having sure-handed catches are a nice added touch. This has led to using a rolling window of no longer than ten years of prospects. We dont love the quarterback situation in Washington and Dotsons ceiling is limited, but he is a nice value in the dynasty rookie rankings. Please remember these or any other rankings are merely a starting point for evaluating player value. From wide receivers like Drake London, Jameson Williams and Garrett Wilson to a group of running backs headlined by Breece Hall and Kenneth Walker III, there will be starting-caliber fantasy players. If it all comes together, he could be a better version of Jalen Hurts. Last and, yes, the least, are physical measurements. Ironically, Treylon Burks received some NFL comparisons to the man he is taking over for. Hell have a chance for immediate volume in the Saints offense as the WR2, but as we said with most players in this class, its a pick your flavor type of draft. A dream scenario for Skyy Moore. His Team Adjusted Efficiency puts him into a bin of which the lowest scoring player has averaged at least 10 points per game; talk about a good floor. Follow the links below to see the trade values for each position. London still has an impressive profile, but temper expectations a bit when looking at his raw numbers. Just dont expect much from him this fall. With that said, hes got intriguing physical tools and we have more reason to believe hed hold up as a dual-threat quarterback than Matt Corral. He had a strong early showing in his career that slowly diminished as the years went byculminating in a final senior season where he was out-produced by both junior Garrett Wilson and emerging star sophomore Jaxon Smith-Njigba. While Mitch Trubisky might provide some competition, Pickett likely wins the starting job. In an effort to help you find trades that could improve your fantasy team, we present the Dynasty Trade Value Chart. myDLF to John Metchie 69.47. The Dallas Cowboys lost Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wilson this offseason. Its also a testament to a players talent, as better players are sought after more fervently by scouting departments. He was the clear top option coming into the draft, as both his college production and athleticism pointed to a future three-down back. Sort projected player stats and fantasy points by position, week, and category. a ranker's name to view their specific rankings, tiers, and comments (not all rankers use these). Caution on draft favorites in Pittman, Edwards, Claypool, Johnson? He does a nice job bouncing off defensive backs, allowing him to fight for extra yards. Here youll find our fantasy football rooking rankings by position. However, hes the player capable of becoming a superstar at the position. On pure talent and physical tools, he is one of the best receivers in the 2022 draft class. Ive seen some comps to Henry Ruggs and DeSean Jackson and think hes somewhere in between. Instead, hell likely split touches with Penny assuming Chris Carsons career is over. The only heavy blemish on his profile comes from poor overall film grades, coming in below average from all three film sources for typical top-150 draft selections. Drawing some comparisons to Tyler Lockett, wide receiver Jahan Dotson walks into the NFL as a slot weapon for the Washington Commanders. Next comes undersized yet super productive standout WanDale Robinson. Ridder should at least make a handful of starts this season and with his athleticism, this is a player worth planting a flag on in the years ahead. PFF's Fantasy Football Expected Points tool is primarily used for identifying potential over and undervalued players. Another plus, his willingness and proficiency as a blocker means he can see the field early. Let's explore the historyhttps://t.co/HygVN5kVeT. The major factor being the Z-Score has learned to account for collegiate team prestige when factoring in a production profile. Average Yards Per Team Pass Attempt had the strongest single stat correlation to fantasy points in my database, essentially tying draft position. A statistical breakdown of what metrics matter most for predicting future fantasy production. Check out all of the tools we offer to help you dominate your league, including our, What Is A Dynasty Fantasy Football League. New York was a top-eight team in run play percentage with a lead, so if the Jets' young players play well, Hall will get plenty of opportunities. Career production is the most meaningful category in the Z-Score next to draft capital. He also brings some nice pop and elusiveness, opening the door for him to receive a handful of touches every game.

If the Browns use him in the Jarvis Landry role, there is some real PPR appeal here. Unfortunately, as of right now, his hands are a work in progress and he is going to need to spend a lot more time refining his routes. The AFC north has some interesting players who are primed to potentially make an impact in 2022. I hope this breakdown was helpful for you to find the stats that matter most when researching your rookie wide receivers for the upcoming season. From a fantasy perspective, Whites receiving ability could help him see the field as a rookie. The particular beauty of the Z-Score is in its transparency in process, categorical grades, and final overall projection of PPG to satisfy those who are thirsting for a quick summary of the analysis, deep explanatory insight, and everything in between. Lets dive into our 2022 fantasy rookie rankings. Alec Pierce received a lot of shared comparisons, among them Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Donovan Peoples-Jones.

1 in our fantasy football rookie rankings. Obtaining a 40% market share on LSU is far more difficult than a 40% market share on Liberty and should be rewarded as such. Youll find Pierce much lower in consensus dynasty rookie rankings, but sometimes its good to be different. Marcus Mariota isnt exactly comforting for 2022, but we are projecting long-term and expect them to add someone much better by next year. The higher the selection, the better the player likely is and the more investment from the team to ensure they succeed. Reality might be somewhere in between. These 2022 rookie WR rankings for PPR dynasty leagues are intended to gauge the long-term potential value of players over the next several seasons. Sort, filter, and export these If youre spending a top-20 pick on him, just know he wont see the field much in 2022. He makes some impressive catches for his size, not shying away from contact and willing to contort his body to make grabs against a defensive back. This adds up to him not only being the best option long-term but also the. Julio Jones 87.24. 10 spot in our fantasy rookie receiver rankings because of WR3 upside in the future.

The Arizona Cardinals might be trying to replicate the Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert pairing we saw with the Philadelphia Eagles. Find positional rankings, additional analysis, and subscribe to push notifications in the NFL Fantasy News section. Whether that barking analogy makes any sense or not, what does make sense is placing your bet on the surest profile in college to be the surest profile in the NFL. 37,739, The son of Colts legend Marvin Harrison, the Ohio State WR is quickly rising up devy ranks and positioned to be the next great WR.

The 2022 NFL Draft is injecting plenty of new faces at premium positions into the league. Please follow the resources mentioned below if you want a more detailed explanation of these categories. One thing to keep in mind, per MockDraftable, there are some athletic comparisons to Tee Higgins and Michael Pittman. All the knowledge you can handle below . Jameson Williams 104.82. Looking beyond his rookie season, theres a lot of long-term upside based on the size-athleticism combo. Despite this drawback, hes still my favorite value target in rookie drafts. If the rookie steps in as the No. I then adjusted for internal team strength (SRS) and their opponent strength (SOS), found at sports-reference.com. Brady loves dumping it off to his running backs, we see that every year and White could take Gio Bernards job. Funny enough, the Titans traded away Brown specifically to draft Burks. Jaylen Waddle 58.8 pic.twitter.com/CFmKQmhTVF. Other concerns arise, however, in the Giants WR room, which is littered with competition in Golladay, Toney, Shepard, and more. I have long sided with production being far more important than physical metrics, and albeit his size flag is glaring, the new head coach for the Giants, Brian Daboll, doesnt seem to be too concerned either. His attractive profile is led by his impressive career yards per team pass attempt at 2.7, top-3 in class. He also lands in an ideal situation, benefitting from defenses focused on stopping a healthy Michael Thomas. The biggest incentive to draft him is the chance to be a No. The Pittsburgh Steelers are a solid landing spot for quarterback Kenny Pickett. I still think hes a good bet and that Daboll will be creative enough to use him well. Meet the Tennessee Titans replacement for A.J. Once a coveted quarterback recruit, Jelani Woods eventually had to convert to tight end. His team-adjusted efficiency ranked worst among the first-round pick wideouts. If he irons out his route-running, Dulcich might have a future as a starting tight end with some fantasy appeal.

He can also be a pinball, bouncing off defenders and always finding a way to maintain his balance after contact.

29,212 Should you be at all concerned on the surge Denzel Mims has made? Chicagos receiving corps is underwhelming with Darnell Mooney the only real threat to take the largest percentage of targets. Breece Hall leads the way due to a combination of talent and positional scarcity. Make sure you check out my entire, For more information on each of these rookies, as well as the ones who didnt make the cut, check out PFF's, leads the way due to a combination of talent and positional scarcity. All of that is without even mentioning all the talent drafted on Day 2 of the NFL Draft, many of them landing in some appealing landing spots for both short- and long-term fantasy value. I hope that this model can provide you with actionable insight into each prospects profile, their pros and cons, and why it matters. Hes QB1 in our dynasty rankings because this can be a league-winning fantasy player three years from now. David Bell might have been drafted later than he expected, but this is an ideal situation for the 21-year-old receiver. He projects as an RB2 in fantasy, losing some PPR appeal because of Carters pass-catching prowess. Jalen Tolberts speed (4.49 40-yard dash) and profile make him a deep threat in the NFL. Hand size, height, weight, and arm length are the measures used, and the final grade is more of a tiebreaker or red flag in the grades than a stand-alone use. There are things to like about Matt Corral. While there isnt an elite playmaker this year, our 2022 fantasy football rookie rankings should provide some hope for those in all fantasy leagues. Dave Ragone reportedly loved Drake London and the former USC Trojans wide receiver made an overwhelmingly strong impression on the Atlanta Falcons during the pre-draft process.

While breakout age is somewhat baked into early declares and early college production, it gives another perspective because some players enter college older/younger than others. Needless to say, the Green Bay Packers love Christian Watson.

#Nerdherd Members Only | Unisex Fleece Hoodie, #Nerdherd Pennant/Front and Badge/Back - American Apparel T-Shirt. People of any shape and size can succeed. He was the, pointed to a future three-down back. Carr has chip on shoulder: 'No one thinks anything of' Raide NFL 'overwhelmed' by ticket demand in Germany. Williams will be one of the fastest players in the NFL when healthy and perennial 1,000-yard seasons are very doable. 2 tight end after trading Noah Fant, enter third-round pick Greg Dulcich. While its thinner at the top of the fantasy football rookie rankings, obviously bad news for those with the No. Hes not much of a blocker, potentially limiting his role as a rookie. While not reaching as high of an elite ranking as anyone in the past few classes, hes the closest to having such a profile. The team adjusted market share highlights players who dominated on their team and how good that production was relative to the overall team strength. The 5-foot-10 running back runs with a desire to decleat anyone who tries to tackle him. If you are shooting strictly for upside with no care about risk, Jameson is your guy. Coming in at 58, 178 lbs, and the shortest arms in the class by FAR at 27.63, its the flag that scares most everyone away from a fantasy perspective.

Market Share of Receiving Yards Per Game of final season, adjusted for team strength via SRS (Simple Rating System), YPRR (Yards Per Route Run) adjusted for team strength via SRS, Measure of Average Receiving Yards Per Team Pass Attempt (college career per game), Dominator Rating per game of final two seasons, adjusted for SRS and SOS to get a full picture of the level of dominance, The earlier they succeed in college, the earlier that success will typically translate to NFL, Correlated historical film grades from 3 sources, including DynastyNerds Nerd Score, into expected fantasy points per game. import your fantasy league, and then identify best available players. Its going to take a great offensive coordinator to find ways to feed him the ball and this will still be a run-first offense. (E.g., an age 18 breakout age grades as an A). But all in all neither is that important. Similar to his former Alabama teammate, John Metchie III is still recovering from a torn ACL. The Jets are seen as a murky landing spot, but I personally love everything they have been doing over the past few years as an organization. NFL Network mentioned the Panthers coaching staff believes he has the best film among the 2022 quarterback class. The North are filled with plenty of receivers to go grab now. Follow

The Z-Score is notorious for liking small players far above consensus: KJ Hamler, Elijah Moore, Tutu Atwell, and now Robinson.

All three film grades had him as either their best or tied for best in class. I have weighted each categorys grade appropriately with respect to its measured predictiveness of NFL success, but separating each grade out allows for transparency and the freedom to weigh them as you see fit. Those looking for an underrated target in fantasy football rankings should look toward Jalen Tolbert. If Fournette ever goes down, White could become a strong RB2 in this offense. Even with one massive athlete on the field, Kyle Pitts, the Falcons will get great use out of another giant. This is where things get exciting. A full summary of the 2022 class all in one chart is included here for your viewing pleasure: The #1 ranking wide receiver may come as a surprise to some after being the 6th WR off the board on draft night, but his all-around profile speaks for itself. Another is Yards Per Route Run in college, which will combine into final season grades with market share. This metric was inspired by Underdog analyst Hayden Winks (found at@HaydenWinks) and compiled once again through the database of sports-reference.com. There are varying NFL comparisons, ranging from Golden Tate to D.J. FantasyPros' Most Accurate Expert Competition. For the first time since the class of 2018 (Calvin Ridley), ALL of my film grade inputs the ones with proven history of success have aligned with the same WR as top in class:Garrett Wilson. James Cook couldnt be covered when moved out of the backfield, he is dangerous as a receiving back. One of our favorite players in the 2022 NFL Draft. Dont expect a Mike Evans-esque rookie season (1,051 yards, 12 touchdowns), but London could have that career trajectory and hes the best rookie wide receiver for 2022.

He should be the Jets' lead back in Week 1.

Including The best dynasty rankings in the industry Hindsight 2021: Defensive Linemen Surprise! Now is a great time to plug any roster holes through trades especially as values have shifted a bit over the summer and we inch closer to training camp. The ultimate, personalized mobile sports experience, Cardinals, Murray ink 5-year extension reportedly worth $230.5M, theScore's 2022 Fantasy Football Draft Kit, Report: Browns to sign Rosen as team awaits Watson ruling, Patriots forego offensive, defensive coordinator titles, Cowboys bring back white helmet, throwbacks for Thanksgiving game. 1 pick, theres a lot of depth in the class. This past season had a few surprises for fantasy managers! The offensive line in Atlanta is still a mess, but that also increases the likelihood of oft-injured starter Marcus Mariota being sidelined at some point. Mandatory Credit: Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports.

Breaking down each category, we can understand their usefulness. Wentz remains a big question mark, and he will very likely be second fiddle to McLaurin for the foreseeable future. And while he doesnt score as an other-worldly talent in any other particular category, he is above average in every single one. In the past seven years, draft capital itself has a historical R-squared of 0.230 to three-year PPG, compared to an R-squared of 0.378 for the Z-Score. to rush a lot and thats especially true because of his reckless rushing style. While Corral is a good rusher, he doesnt have the frame (212 lbs.) Still, wide receiver is the position that can hopefully carry it into the history books as significant for fantasy purposes. Morgantown, West Virginia, USA; Iowa State Cyclones running back Breece Hall (28) runs the ball during the second quarter against the West Virginia Mountaineers at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. However, the film gurus still rave about his ability, especially as a route runner. Certain content reproduced under license.

We wouldnt expect London to rack up a ton of receiving yards as a rookie, but he could find the end zone a few times. Exciting Wide Receivers, Athletic freak, small-school standout, and Senior Bowl standout, Best landing spot on Earth in a wide-open GB receiver room, Solid production at one of the best schools in the nation at Alabama, Slides immediately into the WR2/3 role behind Cooks, PIT is notoriously good at drafted WRs; best in class breakout age, Heavy competition with Diontae and Claypool, Attractive profile and unreal dominance in production, but very little in competition.

In its fourth season, the WR Z-Scores are here to serve you with a complete analytic view of your favorite prospects. Luckily for us, the SIS data hub has been tracking this for college athletes as well. This allows me to catch new trends in fresh data points and/or eliminate defective ways of thinking. The rookie might not find the end zone a ton, but there could be a few 100-yard games coming for him as a rookie.

Hes likely a FLEX play in his rookie season. Justin Fields loves throwing vertical and Jones (4.31 40 time) can make plays deep or pile up yards after the catch.

A year after drafting Michael Carter, most probably didnt expect the New York Jets to draft a running back this early. @IDP_Baumer takes a look Now onto Running Backs! Our annual Rookie Draft Guide 1 receiver for Pittsburgh by 2023. Burks was the heart and soul of the Arkansas offense and has often drawn comparisons to Deebo Samuel and AJ Brown among the film community. As with any position, draft capital is self-explanatory. But Burks is one of the biggest risers in fantasy football rookie rankings after the 2022 NFL Draft. Expect him to see the field plenty in 3WR sets, getting some deep shots thrown his way by Dak Prescott. Landing spot, coaching tendencies, and supporting cast also play significant roles. They are all a solid tier below these top-12, and their projections can give you an idea of what to expect. While comparisons are irrelevant to an analytic profile, it sure paints an attractive picture if his new team can capitalize on his talents in a similar fashion.

An all-around much-improved team this season will all hinge on the progress of Zach Wilson. His team dominance is showcased best by his 3.9 YPRR his final season, the best in class. Best-in-class career production, tied for top-in-class film grades, and efficiency metrics have the model barking for Burks. His consensus ADP nail in the coffin is his landing spot in Washington. It came as a surprise to see George Pickens slide late into Round 2. Apart from breakout age, Garrett out-scores his collegiate teammate ever so slightly in every category except breakout age, but more than makes up for it by being an early declare junior as opposed to a senior.

Landing with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers can be fantastic for a running back. The real concern here, beyond opponents having no respect for starting quarterback Drew Lock, Seattle will be starting multiple rookies on the offensive line and Walkers value is hurt by lesser receiving skills. Below you will find each category, followed by a short explanation of why they are used. But as I noted with the Jets, when they had other players and a new regime, it is wise to bet on the same players that the new regime is betting on. Jared Goff can support a top WR, as illustrated through his career, but there is no doubt a lot of mouths to feed when we also consider Hockenson. However, he moves really well for a 6-foot-4 tight end with the juice to make some plays vertically. NOTE: Many of these sections have not changed from previous year articles as their effectiveness remains unchanged and strong. Try DLF Premium for only $7.99 with a Monthly Subscription. There is just so much risk here. Theres a shot for Pierce to be a low-end RB2 this season in fantasy, even on an underwhelming Texans offense.

1. Early declare shows that the level of interest is strong for players considering omitting a final year of college to enter the NFL draft early. This is heavily due to his being a late declare and scoring a B- or less in four of the remaining five categories. Moore finds himself behind Travis Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster for targets on underneath routes, but Andy Reid is exactly the coach you want Moore to play for. In 2022, the hope is he can slide into the Marques Valdes-Scantling role as the deep threat. This was a metric@LordReebsbroke down in further detail here: Taking a look at early vs non-early declare WRs for future fantasy success. Premium membership provides access to all of our awesome dynasty content for an entire year. With Alvin Kamara likely serving a suspension this year, there will be even more targets for Olave. 2 receiver after training camp, hell be even higher on dynasty rookie rankings. A stash pick in dynasty rookie rankings, Sam Howell wont see the field in 2022.

Saints WR Michael Thomas, DE Marcus Davenport placed on PUP Bucs sign Rudolph to reported 1-year contract, Fantasy Podcast: 10 training camp storylines to follow. Londons strong hands and ability to make contested catches stood out, but hes also got some YAC ability. Playing the long game is crucial with respect to wide receivers and dynasty. Hes worth a shot if your leaguemates are overvaluing his landing spot and he continues to fall in price.